Not that my little Indiana primary vote in the depths of May will make any difference, but Ms. Rodham Clinton just created another strike against herself in my estimation. She’s trying to change the rules of the Democratic primary in the middle of the game.
In an effort to keep a check on the ever accelerating primary schedule, the Democratic National Committee sanctioned Florida and Michigan for moving their primaries up in the schedule. The sanction was that their delegates would not count. The Edwards, Obama, and Clinton campaigns agreed to the sanctions. However, Clinton kept her name on the ballot in Michigan which, as one might expect, gave her a distinct advantage. She also happens to lead the polls in Florida where none of them are campaigning. So now, she wants to renege on her agreement and is urging that the Florida and Michigan delegates be seated.
Ezra Klein:
This is the sort of decision that has the potential to tear the party apart. In an attempt to retain some control over the process and keep the various states from accelerating their primaries into last Summer, the Democratic National Committee warned Michigan and Florida that if they insisted on advancing their primary debates, their delegates wouldn’t be seated and the campaigns would be asked not to participate in their primaries. This was agreed to by all parties (save, of course, the states themselves).
With no one campaigning, Clinton, of course, won Michigan — she was the only Democrat to be on the ballot, as I understand it, which is testament to the other campaign’s beliefs that the contest wouldn’t count — and will likely win Florida. And because the race for delegates is likely to be close, she wants those wins to matter. So she’s fighting the DNC’s decision, and asking her delegates — those she’s already won, and those she will win — to overturn it at the convention. She’s doing so right before Florida, to intensify her good press in the state, where Obama is also on the ballot. And since this is a complicated, internal-party matter that sounds weird to those not versed in it (of course Michigan and Florida should count!), she’s adding a public challenge that, if the other Democrats deny, will make them seem anti-Michigan and Florida.
But if this pushes her over the edge, the Obama camp, and their supporters, really will feel that she stole her victory. They didn’t contest those states because they weren’t going to count, not because they were so committed to the DNC’s procedural arguments that they were willing to sacrifice dozens of delegates to support it. It’s as hard as hardball gets, and the end could be unimaginably acrimonious. Imagine if African-American voters feel the rules were changed to prevent Obama’s victory, if young voters feel the delegate counts were shifted to block their candidate.