Dan Balz of the Washington Post has an article in the “Republicans are DOOMED” genre. I don’t know why pundits feel compelled to write the obituary of one party or the other. Sure, if the next 3 elections were repeats of the 2008 election, the GOP would be in for some rough times. And, they’ll probably have to do some major retooling, but the U.S. seems to have a pretty short pendulum period.
I suspect the Democrats will fracture a bit, as one or more of its constituent parts feels like it isn’t getting enough of the pie. If they are in power enough, they will inevitably calcify and corruption will set in. Meanwhile, the Republicans will retool. They’ll get rid of their calcified, corrupt politicians. Ideology will, to some extent, give way to pragmatism.
Predicting what it would take for a Republican resurgence is probably just me projecting a wish-list on the party, but I’d hope it would be a “stay out of my pocket book, stay out of my bedroom” kind of party. A party of small business instead of crony capitalism. The religious angle would be tamped down, and the young earth, anti-science crowd would be marginalized. There would be a conservative rather than activist foreign policy. The Nativist strain of the party would be marginalized as well.
I’ll be clear. I’m not unhappy with the Obama administration yet. There are some things I would change — take a harder line on civil liberties; maybe go back in time and spend less under Bush so that less debt would have to be incurred for Obama’s spending initiatives. But, when it is eventually time for the Democrats to leave power, I hope there is a functional non-ideological Republican Party ready to go.